But his sire was Alydar, the near-misser to Affirmed in all three legs of the Triple Crown. We can’t rule out any of them by using this stat. A Dosage that’s “too high” one day can be within the parameters the next. There are horses with higher dosage profiles that have won the Derby since 2000, 4 horses to be exact – Sinndar, North Light, Sea The Stars and Golden Horn. The 2021 Kentucky Derby is the 147th renewal of The Greatest Two Minutes in Sports. Incredibly, 16 of the 17 runners currently still standing are related to Northern Dancer. Derby Full Leaderboard at the Kentucky Derby. There is another way to look deeper at breeding and this one does help us a little. The Kentucky Derby is a prime example. Looking at the information I have, a dosage index of 1.45 and a centre of distribution of 0.18 is higher than the average Derby winner this century. It is calculated based on an analysis of the horse's pedigree. Epsom Derby 2020 Runners. I’ve always thought that the dosage index was a pretty underrated tool for handicapping a derby horse, but when Bruno de Julio started singing its praises I began to pay even more attention to the dosage index. The combination of Dosage and our discovery that all but four of the winners of the Kentucky Derby since 1972 were ranked as a juvenile within 10 pounds of the highweight on the Experimental Free Handicap or were named juvenile champion in another country has become an especially powerful tool in isolating the true classic contenders. A horse with a DI of 4.0, would mean that he has 4 times as much speed points than stamina points, and would probably be favored in sprint races. The Dosage Index is a mathematical figure used by breeders of Thoroughbred race horses, and sometimes by bettors handicapping horse races, to quantify a horse's ability, or inability, to negotiate the various distances at which horse races are run. Even the exception is related to Roberto, the same as our exception above. The following is a highly unscientific study. The historical dosage index numbers for the Epsom Derby. Breeding Dosage Index. Get our 2021 Kentucky Derby coverage including Picks and Odds. Dosage Index (DI) - A ratio of Speed-to-Stamina. A DI of 1.00 and/or a CD of 0.00 are supposed to represent the "ideal balance" of speed and stamina in a pedigree. The most unusual Triple Crown horse racing season in history will finally continue Saturday, Sept. 5 (7:01 p.m. A horse with a DI of 4.0, would mean that he has 4 times as much speed points than stamina points, and would probably be favored in sprint races. by Greg Melikov - 01/31/2006. Kentucky Derby: Is the Dosage System Getting Harder to Swallow? FREE Copy of Dr. Steven Roman’s Book On Thoroughbred Dosage and Performance By Derek Simon As many of you know, Dr. Steven Roman’s excellent Web site chef-de-race.com is no longer being maintained. 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